Sign up for PayPal and start accepting credit card payments instantly.

Label Cloud

Can't find what you're looking for? Try Google Search.
Google

Saturday, April 5, 2008

Dollar eases vs majors, spotlight on payrolls



The dollar ticked lower versus other major currencies on Friday in technically-led trade ahead of a key U.S. jobs report.

Signals for non-farm payrolls have been mixed, with a surprise gain in private sector jobs in March offset by news that first-time applications for U.S. jobless benefits rose last week to a 2-1/2 year high.

But overall, investor sentiment has improved in recent sessions, and markets are now only expecting a 25 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve this month.

Economists forecast the U.S. economy likely cut 60,000 jobs in March for its third straight month of losses, with the unemployment rate seen rising to 5.0 percent, from 4.8 percent in February. The data is due at 1230 GMT.

"It's pre non-farm payrolls trading. Even if the figure comes in around zero, from a fundamental point of view that's still negative for the dollar because that will not stop the uptrend in the unemployment rate," said Antje Praefcke, currency strategist at Commerzbank Corporates & Markets in Frankfurt.

By 0749 GMT, the euro was up 0.2 pct on the day at $1.5718, but well off March's record peak above $1.59.

Hourly technical charts showed the euro breaking through a 200-hour moving average located at $1.57. The dollar was steady at 102.32 yen. It was down at 1.0073 Swiss francs.

SHRUGGING OFF WEAK ECONOMY?

The Fed has chopped rates since September by a total of 3 percentage points to 2.25 percent, to deal with the credit crisis and shield the economy from an ailing housing sector.

Late on Thursday, San Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen echoed comments on the economy made by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke earlier this week, saying the U.S. economy has "all but stalled and could contract" in the first half of 2008.

But the dollar took the comments in its stride.

"We think it's possible for the U.S. dollar to strengthen despite a weak economy, providing that euro zone data continues to deteriorate and that the Federal Reserve does not take action that would suggest a monetising of mortgage-backed securities woes," UBS (nyse: UBS - news - people ) said in a research note.

"We continue to target euro/dollar at $1.55 over one month and $1.47 over three months."

Elsewhere, the Australian dollar fell 0.2 percent to US$0.9140 after February retail sales unexpectedly dipped 0.1 percent from the previous month.

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens said on Friday that growth in domestic demand was moderating despite uncomfortably high inflation, suggesting that interest rates had risen enough for now.Align Center

Read Forex More...

Sunday, March 30, 2008

U.S. dollar mixed in Sydney morning forex trade



The U.S. dollar was trading mixed against major currencies on Monday although traders said it is likely to remain under pressure until investors see a credible end to the financial and economic problems in the U.S.

While the U.S. economy is seeing continued weakness the euro zone's economic fundamentals remain sound and Japan is showing some strength with inflation on the rise although investors are waiting for the release of the Bank of Japan's Tankan report on Tuesday, traders said.
Key focus for the Tankan report will be investment intentions though overall the report is likely to

provide mixed signals, providing headaches for foreign exchange markets, they said.

'Monday is month-end and financial yearend in Japan, so most players will look to remain on the sidelines,' said John Noonan of Thomson IFR.

'Overall the U.S. dollar should remain under pressure, until the market sees a credible end to the current financial and economic problems in the U.S.'

At 10.20 am (2320 GMT) the dollar was trading at 99.19 yen from 99.22 in late trade in New York on Friday while the euro was at 1.5789 dollars from 1.5795.

ANZ senior currency strategist Tony Morriss said the yen is being supported by risk aversion following a weak performance by U.S. stocks on Friday.

'It is also the end of the Japanese financial year which has supported a bit of an inflow in recent weeks but today I think the yen will be in demand just on risk aversion,' Morriss said.

He said the euro continues to be supported by a better outlook in the euro zone and a still hawkish view on inflation by European Central Bank officials.

Morriss said the Australian dollar is likely to be under pressure because of less appetite for risk as well as softer commodity prices. The market has already factored in the Reserve Bank of Australia leaving interest rates steady after tomorrow's policy meeting.

Activity will pick up during the week due to a number of key US data releases, including the

Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing data on Tuesday, service sector ISM data on Thursday, factory orders on Wednesday and non-farm payroll numbers on Friday.

As well, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke will testify before a joint house economic committee on Wednesday.

Read Forex More...